Construção de cenários futuros para o uso e conservação de polinizadores

Resumo

Várias são as ameaças, naturais ou de origem antrópica, que têm provocado alterações nos habitats ocupados pelas espécies que compõem a biota local. Essas ameaças podem ser simuladas através de construção de cenários futuros visando estimar seus impactos e, assim, analisar suas possíveis consequências. Tais cenários têm sido construídos a partir de aplicações de modelagem de distribuição geográfica, uma técnica que analisa as características atuais das áreas de ocorrência e projeta essas características em cenários diferentes. Essa técnica pode ser aplicada para analisar os efeitos das alterações sobre os polinizadores e as plantas que eles visitam.

Abstract

There are several threats that are provoking changings on the habitats occupied by the local biota species. These threats can be simulated through scenarios building that aim to evaluate their impact, and so, analyze the possible consequences. Such scenarios have been built from applications of geographic distribution modeling, a technique that analyzes the current characteristics of occurrence areas and projects these characteristics on different scenarios. This technique can be applied to analyze the effects of these changes on pollinators and plants visited by them.

Autores

Dr. Tereza Cristina Giannini é Pós-Doutoranda pelo Departamento de Computação e Sistemas Digitais na Escola Politécnica da USP e Professora da Universidade de Santo Amaro. E-mail: giannini@usp.br
MSc. André Luis Acosta é Doutorando pelo Programa de Pós-Graduação em Ecologia do Instituto de Biociências da Universidade de São Paulo. E-mail: andreluisacosta@gmail.com
Dr. Antônio Mauro Saraiva é Professor Titular do Departamento de Engenharia de Computação e Sistemas Digitais da Escola Politécnica da Universidade de São Paulo. E-mail: saraiva@usp.br
Dra. Isabel Alves dos Santos é Professora Doutora do Departamento de Ecologia do Instituto de Biociências da Universidade de São Paulo. E-mail: isabelha@usp.br
Dr. Paulo de Marco Jr. é Professor Adjunto III do Instituto de Ciências Biológicas da Universidade Federal de Goiás. E-mail: pdemarco@icb.ufg.br

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